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Scunthorpe Utd v AFCW k.o 15:00 (FL1)

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Biggles agreed and considering it was 1% about a month ago we are moving in the right direction!
22nd Mar 2019 11:21:02 
[85.lo.gg.ed] 
Personally I'd actually out our chances of survival a little less than 50% because I fear this is just a blip. Four wins in a row would go a long way to change that!
The arithmetic is simple. With 39 points and 8 games left, we need to win at least 4 to get 51 points which may keep us up. 5 wins would certainly do so. It's a big challenge but we have momentum. None of our relegation rivals have it.
22nd Mar 2019 11:15:15 
[77.lo.gg.ed] 
I still put our chances of relegation at 50%.
Spit: [Link]
22nd Mar 2019 11:10:28 
[77.lo.gg.ed] 
Ex www.wup.me.uk - The home of WU
slow - ta for that.
22nd Mar 2019 10:43:06 
[51.lo.gg.ed] 
my shit just too good winkysmileyspace
GG - we're 6/4 to stay up. In from 8/1 2 weeks ago [Link]
22nd Mar 2019 10:29:28 
[85.lo.gg.ed] 
Ex www.wup.me.uk - The home of WU
Saw that, and your fag-packet calculations are roughly correct (except for the fact that most bookies are as tight as two coats of paint, so it would more likely be 6/4). I was always too lazy/chicken to make my own prices. I just matched the best price available on the high street.
22nd Mar 2019 10:29:12 
[51.lo.gg.ed] 
Oddschecker is your FRIENNNNNNND space
Sorry Ginge, just looked at the 8/15 generally available for us to go down, reversed the odds and sliced off a little for the bookies' margin! As the WUP resident betmeister I thought you'd be offering that... ;o)
22nd Mar 2019 10:17:53 
[86.lo.gg.ed] 
Ex www.wup.me.uk - The home of WU
Talking of bookies, did I read somewhere that the fans were 66% in favour of a betting sponsor?
22nd Mar 2019 10:15:29 
[10.lo.gg.ed] 
spit the dog
Ex www.wup.me.uk - The home of WU
windy-pops - where? My boss wanted to have a bet on us staying up (to save against his Judas bet that he placed on us going down at the start of the season - just to wind me up). I looked on Oddschecker and no-one was offering prices. By the time that someone does offer a market - after we've won our next three games - the price will be shit.
22nd Mar 2019 10:13:19 
[51.lo.gg.ed] 
please gamble irresponsibly space
He'd certainly take a keen interest in the youth
22nd Mar 2019 10:12:57 
[146.lo.gg.ed] 
Morning all
Adam Johnson released this morning. Wonder if he's lost his touch?
22nd Mar 2019 10:08:52 
[2.lo.gg.ed] 
middle aged don
Well, we did sign St. Luce!!
You could probably get 13/8 against us staying up at the bookies...
22nd Mar 2019 10:03:35 
[86.lo.gg.ed] 
Ex www.wup.me.uk - The home of WU
Hash - "Would be a good opportunity now for the club to issue a detailed update of where we are, what happens next, timelines etc"
22nd Mar 2019 10:02:01 
[86.lo.gg.ed] 
Tome to wake up and smell the coffee. We will be told when the Great Leader determines we are worthy!
Thanks. I had a vague recollection of something like that. The only problem with that approach is it effectively gives as much weight to our early season form as our recent form. Statistically valid, but I think our real chances are much better (dare I say it better than 50%?)
22nd Mar 2019 09:51:13 
[86.lo.gg.ed] 
wombler
Oh god there I go and jinx it
Forgot to mention that the simulations are of every match remaining for every club.
22nd Mar 2019 09:43:03 
[86.lo.gg.ed] 
Ex www.wup.me.uk - The home of WU
wombler - The percentages are based on thousands of simulated runs using the expected attacking and defensive effectiveness. I'm not sure if there is any weighting towards more recent games.
22nd Mar 2019 09:39:06 
[86.lo.gg.ed] 
Ex www.wup.me.uk - The home of WU
If Deji is fit enough to put in a shift (in pain or otherwise) I'd fancy him as a straight swap for Nightingale, protecting the back line. Remember someone said he had Eaves in his pocket last time we played them.
22nd Mar 2019 09:28:09 
[92.lo.gg.ed] 
kt2
Whatever misdemeanours he has or hasn't committed this season, the bloke is hard as fucking nails and did play with an injury for some time before his lay off, so fair play to him on that score.
Those Experimental361 numbers are a damn sight better than they were a few weeks ago. Do you know how many games those percentages take into account? And is there weighting towards more recent games (to reflect form)?
22nd Mar 2019 09:17:30 
[86.lo.gg.ed] 
wombler
Ex www.wup.me.uk - The home of WU
Love the “As we reported recently” line re Kwesi in the piece about not rushing Will back 🤣🤣🤣
22nd Mar 2019 09:16:58 
[146.lo.gg.ed] 
A quick look through the OS news archive shows nothing about his call up.
For those interested in statistics Experimental361 still gives us a 67% chance of being relegated. Bradford (87%) and Rochdale (76%) are more likely to be relegated and just above us are Walsall (48%) and Southend (27%). IMO it is important to pick up at least 4 points from our next two games to give us a good chance of escaping the drop.
22nd Mar 2019 09:15:22 
[86.lo.gg.ed] 
Pretty concerned at what damage Tom Eaves could do without Will in his face...
Hooray. Footie tomorrow. Hoping for some continued Wimbledon spirit!!
22nd Mar 2019 09:15:11 
[86.lo.gg.ed] 
wombler
It's so nice to enjoy going to football again :-)
Oops fat thumb hit post too soon. Nice to have some cash from the cup run but would rather avoid the drop which seemed a done deal not that long ago. Credit to WAG and the squad for the effort they put in because we’d had some duff shows even after the West Ham match.
22nd Mar 2019 09:06:35 
[146.lo.gg.ed] 
Ex www.wup.me.uk - The home of WU
Kt2 yeah that’s why I think tomorrow is bigger than the West Ham game.
22nd Mar 2019 09:04:44 
[146.lo.gg.ed] 
Ex www.wup.me.uk - The home of WU
Trigs, I don't mind admitting I wrote us off after Charlton / Shrews. I still think we're likely to go down fighting, but it's a much closer call after the past week.
22nd Mar 2019 09:03:44 
[92.lo.gg.ed] 
kt2
3 wins on the bounce got us close to safety but not quite there... I'm not hugely confident that we can sustain that kind of form for 8 more games with our squad. Love to be proven wrong, though, it's definitely possible.
Anyone got an idea what the chopper circling New Malden / Raynes Park area for nearly an hour around 9.30/10pm last night was upto? Thought it might be something to do with the cheese eating surrender monkeys, hear there was trouble at Wimbledon and Waterloo stations.
22nd Mar 2019 08:59:52 
[92.lo.gg.ed] 
kt2
Done are in the Sky Super 6 draw this weekend. Went for 2-2. If we win I'll happily sacrifice my 50p acca stake.