Biggles agreed and considering it was 1% about a month ago we are moving in the right direction!

The arithmetic is simple. With 39 points and 8 games left, we need to win at least 4 to get 51 points which may keep us up. 5 wins would certainly do so. It's a big challenge but we have momentum. None of our relegation rivals have it.

Spit: [Link]

slow - ta for that.

GG - we're 6/4 to stay up. In from 8/1 2 weeks ago [Link]

Saw that, and your fag-packet calculations are roughly correct (except for the fact that most bookies are as tight as two coats of paint, so it would more likely be 6/4). I was always too lazy/chicken to make my own prices. I just matched the best price available on the high street.

Sorry Ginge, just looked at the 8/15 generally available for us to go down, reversed the odds and sliced off a little for the bookies' margin! As the WUP resident betmeister I thought you'd be offering that... ;o)

Talking of bookies, did I read somewhere that the fans were 66% in favour of a betting sponsor?

windy-pops - where? My boss wanted to have a bet on us staying up (to save against his Judas bet that he placed on us going down at the start of the season - just to wind me up). I looked on Oddschecker and no-one was offering prices. By the time that someone does offer a market - after we've won our next three games - the price will be shit.

He'd certainly take a keen interest in the youth

Adam Johnson released this morning. Wonder if he's lost his touch?

You could probably get 13/8 against us staying up at the bookies...

Hash - "Would be a good opportunity now for the club to issue a detailed update of where we are, what happens next, timelines etc"

Thanks. I had a vague recollection of something like that. The only problem with that approach is it effectively gives as much weight to our early season form as our recent form. Statistically valid, but I think our real chances are much better (dare I say it better than 50%?)

Forgot to mention that the simulations are of every match remaining for every club.

wombler - The percentages are based on thousands of simulated runs using the expected attacking and defensive effectiveness. I'm not sure if there is any weighting towards more recent games.

If Deji is fit enough to put in a shift (in pain or otherwise) I'd fancy him as a straight swap for Nightingale, protecting the back line. Remember someone said he had Eaves in his pocket last time we played them.

Those Experimental361 numbers are a damn sight better than they were a few weeks ago. Do you know how many games those percentages take into account? And is there weighting towards more recent games (to reflect form)?

Love the “As we reported recently” line re Kwesi in the piece about not rushing Will back 🤣🤣🤣

For those interested in statistics Experimental361 still gives us a 67% chance of being relegated. Bradford (87%) and Rochdale (76%) are more likely to be relegated and just above us are Walsall (48%) and Southend (27%). IMO it is important to pick up at least 4 points from our next two games to give us a good chance of escaping the drop.

Hooray. Footie tomorrow. Hoping for some continued Wimbledon spirit!!

Oops fat thumb hit post too soon. Nice to have some cash from the cup run but would rather avoid the drop which seemed a done deal not that long ago. Credit to WAG and the squad for the effort they put in because we’d had some duff shows even after the West Ham match.

Kt2 yeah that’s why I think tomorrow is bigger than the West Ham game.

Trigs, I don't mind admitting I wrote us off after Charlton / Shrews. I still think we're likely to go down fighting, but it's a much closer call after the past week.

Anyone got an idea what the chopper circling New Malden / Raynes Park area for nearly an hour around 9.30/10pm last night was upto? Thought it might be something to do with the cheese eating surrender monkeys, hear there was trouble at Wimbledon and Waterloo stations.